"Why Randomness May Not Mean What You Think It Means"

Why Randomness May Not Mean What You Think It Means

  • Unlike a lot of precise math, randomness deals with ineffable concepts like odds and probabilities — concepts that our brains simply haven't evolved to fully process and grasp; indeed, our brains are actually wired to find patterns and meaning in things that aren’t really there.
  • Another problem is that randomness tends to mean different things to different people. 
  • For some, randomness suggests a total lack of order in a sequence of symbols or steps such that there’s no intelligible combination or patterns.
  • Others, namely scientists and mathematicians, describe it as a simple lack of predictability. Randomness in this context implies a certain measure of uncertainty. 
  • But regardless of definition, people still make a lot of mistakes when thinking about it. 

  • The "most common misconceptions" discussed in the (very accessible) piece include:
      • Picking Out Patterns 
      • Items Are “Due” To Come Up
      • All Possibilities Are Equally Likely
      • Disorder Ensues From Randomness
      • All Of Nature Is Potentially Predictable

    Learn more here.